After Richmond The Chase field will be set but those gunning for the Top 35 will be racing for a different kind of reward, a guarantee spot in the the first 5 races of 2009.

Positions 25th to 37th are separated by less than 450 points, but positions 30th -37th are only separated by a marginal 130 points. Every race result could heavily shuffle those 8 cars. Most likely leaving 2 outside the Top 35 when the season ends.

Right now, Robby Gordon #7 has the target on his back sitting in 35th position. Sam Hornish #77 & Michael McDowell #00 will be trying to out race Gordon for a guarantee spot next week. Gordon can heavily improve his safety net by racing past those in front him: Michael Waltrip #55, Scott Riggs #66, Dave Blaney #22, AJ Almendinger #84 and Reed Sorensen #41.

These eight drivers will likely swap positions through the remainder of the season. Missing a race or having bad luck can kill your position.

Six other usual suspect: Patrick Carpantier #10, Hall of Fame's #96, Petty's #45, Wood Bros #21 and Haas' #70 would need a lot of luck, as they are already atleast 230+ points outside of 35th place. With 13 races left they can work their way back into the fight.

Paul Menard #15, Reagn Smith #01, David Reutiman #44 and David Gilliland #38 have pretty good odds to stay inside the Top 35.

The Bubble Chase might be the one to watch, since The Chase appears to be only between about 3 drivers.

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Gordon Bubble Calculator:

To move up to:

34th- finish ahead of #44 by 7 spots
33rd- finish ahead of #66 by 7 spots and ahead of #44 by 7 spots
32nd finish ahead of #22 by 7 spots and ahead of #44 and #66 by 7 spots
31st finish ahead of #84 by 8 spots and ahead of #44, #66 and #22 by 7 spots
30th finish ahead of #41 by 25 spots and ahead of #66, #44 and #22 by 7 spots and #84 by 8 spots
29th finish ahead of the #01 by winning and the #01 finishes last.

Fall to 36th
Get beat by the #77 by 6 spots and not gain any ground on those in font of him

Fall to 37th
Get beat by the #00 by 19 spots and beat by 6 spots by the #77 and not gain any ground

Fall to 38th
Can't in one race.
sorry typo #55
Qualifying getting rained out (looks that way) is bad....we need the 77 (or the 00) to miss a race and Hornish was slow in practice.
#84 down a cylinder and is likely to finish last
after 70 laps Robby would retain 35th in points

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