If you flip a coin 4 times and you get heads each flip, it is just a matter of time before it comes up tails. Unfortunately, that seems to be the story of Robby's 2009 500. After putting up the best finishes at speedway races last year, a shock issue relegated him to also ran status. Getting hit in the Jr. fiasco probably did not help either. For sure a dissappointing way to start the year. It will
The 500 was a dissappointment from the 7 pit and it was a dissappointment from my perspective as well. You endure the first 180 laps just to watch the insanity of the last 20, and the rain made sure that was out of the cards. It's like being in high school and making out with a date in your parents basement, only to have your brother kick open the door before reaching your final destination. Then, Dale Jr. had to go and wipe out all of the competitive Toyota's and ruin any chance I had at a victory lunch. On a brighter note, my friend Chris used his free Honey Baked Ham coupon that he got from Roush to get an eight pound ham for the festivities. He made some bitchin potato salad, and I was among a bunch of friends so I cannot complain too much.
Of course there is alot of hullabaloo that goes along with Daytona, but I would look to California this week to get a better barometer of how the teams stack up in terms of pace and who will be in the hunt for race wins this season. California is the first of the fast speedways that actually requires braking and throttle control, so we will get to see who has made the most of thier offseason testing, simulation, and rig work to put a good setup under their driver.
Probably the biggest thing to look for, especially in qualifying, is the cars attitude. It will be interesting to see the toed out rear housings again that were the hot setup last year. The rule is that you can only toe the rear end 1/2", but we will see if anyone has figured out how to get away with a little more. Also, the cars that have the splitters on the ground all the way through the corner without bouncing around over the bumps too much will probably be the fastest.
With California being on the bigger side and everyone tip toeing around trying to maximize thier points and lock into the top 35, a fuel mileage race could be in the cards. There is none better than Carl at the fuel mileage game. With Carl's eye for mileage and the normally stout 2 mile Roush engine package, I will tip Carl for the win with atleast 2 other Roush cars in the top 10. Obviously Kyle will be a threat, and I will tip Vickers for a top 5 as my dark horse. I feel that RG will struggle this week. California has not been a happy hunting ground for him in the last bunch of years, despite it being in his back yard. He will have plenty of family and friends, but they may go home dissappointed. The Toyota power may help, but all of the bigger teams have spent more of their offseason refining their chassis package, and it could be a bleeder. I will go for 25th.
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